Top 10 Predicted Hits And Misses Of The New 2013 Fall TV Season
August 17th, 2013 4:00pm EDT
With the dog days of August winding down, Fall TV is just around the corner with lots of new series premieres being served up. We've taken a closer look at the big networks fall offerings – here's what we think will be the top hits and misses of the new TV season.
Top 10 Hits:
Mom: Chuck Lorre is pretty close to owning CBS at this point. Even if the show is dreadful, it will still benefit from being a part of CBS’s strong Monday night lineup, and leading out from 2 Broke Girls which has evolved into a hit over the last two seasons. Plus, the addition of Anna Faris and Allison Janney into the mix will draw people who are curious about the chemistry. It already has lined up some major guest stars in Octavia Spencer and Justin Long. This is a pretty sure-fire bet for a full season pick up.
Almost Human- FOX is going strong with an all-new Monday. Almost Human comes from mega-producer JJ Abrams, and has the benefit of lead-out Sleepy Hollow being genre specific. It could lure fanboys into staying tuned to FOX’s Monday night lineup. Human will have to contend against two reality shows (The Voice and Dancing With The Stars) whose ratings have been slipping, and the weaker two comedies in CBS’s lineup. This could be a slam dunk for FOX. They also spent a little bit of money making sure Almost Human and Sleepy Hollow had a presence at Comic Con.
Sleepy Hollow- For almost all of the same reasons that Almost Human is a hit, coupled with a much more confident promotional boost from FOX. FOX has been pushing Sleepy Hollow much harder than Almost Human, and plans to reair episodes on Friday (which will help people find the show early in the game). Hollow has stiffer competition from two stronger CBS comedies, but it should still find a niche to carve out for its own.
Hostages- CBS is trying to get into the serialized “cable length” show game with a very ambitious looking drama, starring two major TV vets. Both Dylan McDermott and Toni Collette have had ‘classics’ in their past (The Practice and United States of Tara), and are familiar to TV watching regulars. A unique plot, and the promise of a shortened season (so people won’t have to worry about a back-nine renewal) could help keep viewers for the whole duration. Hostages has strong competition from veteran Castle, and The Blacklist, which is said to have one of the best pilots ever shot.
Marvel's Agents Of S.H.I.E.L.D.- This is a no-brainer. I hate even putting this on here. However, this is also a huge gamble. Because, if it fails, it is a high-profile failure. Possibly, the highest of all time. ABC has balls to put this against NCIS, which is the most-watched show on TV. I expect one of them to flinch, even if it only means switching to 9PM.
The Blacklist- NBC is really trying to make sure you know that this show is “the one”. The Blacklist has already sold in overseas markets, which is a really good show of confidence that this show will go the distance. James Spader is also a really good “get” in terms of a series lead. The Voice as a lead-in should help a bit too, but the real test of The Blacklist will be seeing if it can beat either Castle or Hostages.
Brooklyn Nine-Nine- This show is going to get crushed in the ratings. However, I’m betting that FOX won’t let it die without a fight. A simple timeslot change, say swapping it with The Mindy Project, could save it. It has attracted a lot of attention, and critics seem to love it. I think FOX realizes they have a potential hit here, they’ve just given it a terrible timeslot (and a lackluster lead-in). If they change that, Brooklyn Nine-Nine will evolve into a hit.
The Originals- I’ve picked three shows as hits in the same timeslot. The Originals benefits from the fact that it is a spinoff of the highest-rated CW show. It is the closest thing that The CW has to a sure-thing. Plus, this is a network that renewed The Carrie Diaries, and has stuck behind the low-rated Heart of Dixie and Nikita. The bar is set very low here, so it is almost impossible for this to fail.
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland- Another spinoff of another successful series. I’ve heard that this is also being presented in a “limited series” format, meaning there is no “back nine” potential, rather just a second season, or no second season. The timeslot isn’t very competitive either. The only show standing in the way of a first place finish is The Big Bang Theory. Something tells me that with all the trouble ABC has had with launching an 8PM Thursday Show, they’ll be just find with 2nd place.
The Crazy Ones- CBS got Robin Williams. That’s going to get people to tune in. Plus, he’s at 9PM, and not 930PM, which means that if you want to switch to Michael J Fox after (instead of sticking around for Ashton Kutcher), you can. In the battle of Robin Williams vs Sean Hayes, I think Robin’s got this in the bag.
Top 10 Misses:
Betrayal- ABC has had an awfully hard time launching shows in the 10PM timeslot. Last season, it killed both Red Widow and 666 Park Avenue. Betrayal has the upper hand, in being thematically closer to lead-in Revenge, but it also might be too dark for the timeslot. Also, it lacks a strong lead actor/actress to carry the show.
Lucky 7- This just looks like it is going to get cancelled. Does anyone remember Windfall? We’ve tried this concept before, and it didn’t work. I don’t think ABC is going to be able to draw people in, especially away from Person Of Interest, and to a lesser extent Chicago Fire.
Super Fun Night- I’ve heard this is terrible, and it doesn’t mesh well with the rest of ABC’s Wednesday night lineup. Super Fun Night would have been better paired with the cancelled Happy Endings, instead of following three sitcoms about families. Even with Rebel Wilson, I can’t imagine this going the distance.
Ironside- The remake no one was asking for. Starring Blair Underwood. I would have picked a more charismatic lead, rather than the bland Underwood. A show like this is all about your main character, and I don’t think Underwood can carry the series. It does have the benefit of going against ABC’s struggling Nashville, but it will still get crushed by CSI.
Welcome To The Family- Again, we have thematic issues here. Unfortunately, it isn’t this shows fault. It actually meshes with the family themes of Sean Saves The World and The Michael J. Fox show, but it’ll have a hard time maintaining any of the people who watch Parks and Recreation. Mike O’Malley deserves better than this.
Reign- And this is a shame. The CW is really trying to do something completely different with Reign, but it is by far the weakest show in an extremely competitive timeslot. How do they expect Reign to get any kind of footing against Grey’s Anatomy, Glee, Two and a Half Men, The Crazy Ones, The Michael J. Fox Show, and Sean Saves The World?
Junior Masterchef- FOX had so much confidence in their new show that they put it on Friday. FOX Friday hasn’t launched a successful show since The X-Files. Anyone who says “but Fringe” is delusional. Fringe struggled for a while, and FOX just allowed it to sit there because they were afraid of its fans. No one wants to see Gordon Ramsey yelling at kids.
Enlisted- FOX had two strong sitcoms, and then they had Enlisted. Enlisted drew the short straw, and got paired with struggling Raising Hope on Fridays. Everyone knows Raising Hope is around this season so they can hit syndication numbers. FOX isn’t actually expecting Raising Hope to save Fridays, or help Enlisted find an audience.
The Goldbergs- The problem with The Goldbergs is that there is no possible way it is going to hold an acceptable percentage of Agents Of Shield’s lead in numbers. Even if it performs OK as a series, it will still be written off as a failure for losing the audience that Marvel built. Trophy Wife is a bit safer, because it just has to hold (or build upon) Goldbergs audience to be seen as successful. Goldbergs just has a really big hill that it won’t be able to climb.
The Biggest Loser- I realize that this isn’t a “new show”. I’m aware. But someone has to address the fact that it is now up against NCIS, Agents of Shield, The Originals, and two strong FOX sitcoms. The Biggest Loser hasn’t been a strong performer, rather just an average performer, and I can’t help but think it might be finishing last every week.
Related: Almost Human, Betrayal, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Enlisted, Hostages, Ironside, Lucky 7, Marvel's Agents Of S.H.I.E.L.D., Mom, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland, Reign, Sleepy Hollow, Super Fun Night, The Biggest Loser, The Blacklist, The Crazy Ones, The Goldbergs, The Originals, Welcome to the Family, Starpulse Exclusives, Fall Preview, Cancellations, ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX, The CW, Evergreen
Photo Credits: ABC, Fox, The CW